This evening's Championship match is between Watford and Nott'm Forest.
The success rate for the home team in this match is 69%. This equates to a 57% chance for Watford, a 27% chance for the draw and a 16% chance for Nott'm Forest.
The goal expectancy for this match is 2.42.
The odds for both teams in this match are reasonably close together, so we only need a goal if we lay the draw. The last 16 matches between these two teams have yielded 2 0-0's.
This season Watford have scored 7 in 7 games and conceded 10 in 7 games.
This season Nott'm Forest have scored 7 in 7 games and conceded 13 in 7 games.
Total goals in both teams games is 37 in 14, which equates to 2.64gpg.
That will do for me, so I will lay the draw, stop loss 1.9 for 3.5% of bank
Happy Trading
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