Tonight’s action from the Bundesliga pits, Dortmund, who are top of the table, against, Stuttgart, who are 7th. Dortmund’s record at home is awesome, only Bayern Munich have a better home record this season. Stuttgart have an average away record, but are having a decent run of form themselves. So who will come out on top, let’s have a look at the stats.
League Form
• Looking at the last 10 matches, Dortmund are undefeated, they have won 9 and drawn 1.
• Looking at the last 10 matches, Stuttgart have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3. They have not lost in the last 5.
• Looking at current form (last 6), Dortmund have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0. They have scored 13 goals (2.17gpg) and conceded 3 goals (0.5gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 5 of the 6 matches.
• Looking at current form (last 6), Stuttgart have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1. They have scored 13 goals (2.17gpg) and conceded 3 goals (0.5gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 5 of the 6 matches
• Looking at current home form (last 6), Dortmund have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0. They have scored 11 goals (1.83gpg) and conceded 4 goals (0.67gpg). They have kept 2 clean sheets and scored in all 6 matches.
• Looking at current away form (last 6), Stuttgart have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3. They have scored 11 goals (1.83gpg) and conceded 11 goals (1.83gpg). They have kept 1 clean sheet and scored in 5 of the 6 matches.
H2H’s
• Looking at the last 11 matches, Dortmund have won 5, Stuttgart have won 3 and there have been 3 draws.
• 7 of the 11 matches have been over 2.5 goals.
• 10 of the 11 matches have been over 1.5 goals.
• Looking at the last 5 matches at Dortmund, there has been 2 Dortmund wins, 2 draws and 1 Stuttgart win.
• 2 of the 5 matches have been over 2.5 goals
• 4 of the 5 matches have been over 1.5 goals.
General Stats
• Both teams score in 54% of Dortmund’s home matches and 62% of Stuttgart’s away matches.
• Both team score in the 2nd half in 46% of Dortmund’s home matches and 54% of Stuttgart’s away matches.
• Dortmund score 1st at home in 92% of their matches compared to 38% of Stuttgart’s away matches.
• In the 1st half of Dortmund’s home matches, 38% of the time there is over 1.5 goals compared to 31% of the time for Stuttgart’s away matches.
• In the 2nd half of Dortmund’s home matches, 69% of the time there is over 1.5 goals compared to 77% of the time for Stuttgart’s away matches.
• A goal is scored in every Dortmund home match and every Stuttgart away match.
• A goal is scored in the 1st half of Dortmund’s home matches 84% of the time compared to 54% of the time for Stuttgart’s away matches
• A goal is scored in the 2nd half of Dortmund’s home matches 85% of the time compared to 100% of the time for Stuttgart’s away matches.
• Dortmund have kept 46% clean sheets at home compared to 15% for Stuttgart away.
• Dortmund have scored in every home match compared to 77% of the time for Stuttgart when away from home.
• Dortmund have scored in the 1st half at home 85% of the time compared to 31% of the time for Stuttgart away.
• Dortmund have scored in the 2nd half at home 77% of the time compared to 70% of the time for Stuttgart away.
• There is a goal in the 1st 15 mins of Dortmund’s home matches and Stuttgart’s away matches 31% of the time
• 100% of the time the 1st goal is scored before 68mins in Dortmund’s home matches compared to 85% of the time in Stuttgart’s away matches.
• 92% of the time Dortmund score the 1st goal at home before 68mins compared to 38% of the time for Stuttgart away
• 92% of the time Dortmund are leading before 68mins, compared to 38% of the time for Stuttgart away.
• There is a goal in the last 15 mins 46% of the time in Dortmund’s home matches and Stuttgart’s away matches.
• All of Dortmund’s home matches and all of Stuttgart’s away matches have had 1 goal or more.
• 85% of Dortmund’s home matches have over 1.5 goals compared to 85% for Stuttgart’s away matches.
• 62% of Dortmund’s home matches have over 2.5 goals compared to 62% of Stuttgart’s away matches.
Verdict:- Dortmund are in great form at the moment, but then so are Stuttgart. Both teams current form is fairly even, suggesting a close match. However, when looking at home vs away form, Dortmund are significantly better. The stats do also suggest that Dortmund will score 1st, or be ahead in the match at some point. The lay the draw odds are too high to trade from the start, and backing Dortmund from the start is also not an option as 1.34 is too low, considering the form Stuttgart are in at the moment. Both teams don’t score lots of early goals, so laying over 2.5 goals for the 1st 15 mins could be an option. Then if it is 0-0 after 15-20mins, backing Dortmund and backing over 1.5 goals could be an option.
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