German League

M’gladbach Vs Freiburg

Well this afternoon’s Bundesliga match is between M’gladbach, who are 3^rd and Freiburg, who are 2^nd from bottom.  Is this a home banker, or is there hope for Freiburg? Let’s have a look at the stats.

So looking at success rate, winning% and WOG%, we can clearly see that M’gladbach are miles ahead in every department.

When it comes to goals scored per game (gpg), M’gladbach have a slight advantage. However, when it comes to goals conceded per game (gcpg), M’gladbach have a huge advantage. Also Freiburg’s games tend to have more goals in them.

If we take a look at the data for clean sheets (CS) we can see that M’gladbach keep far more clean sheets than Freiburg. However, the failed to score data (FTS) is fairly even until we get to the last 12 and 6 matches, were surprisingly M’gladbach have a poorer record than Freiburg.

Looking at overall form for the season, we can see that unsurprisingly M’gladbach are miles ahead of Freiburg. Also looking at current form (last 6), M’gladbach have won 3 and Freiburg have only won 1 and lost 3.

Looking at Home vs away form over the last 12 and 6 matches, M’gladbach come out on top again. Indeed, M’gladbach have not lost a home game in the last 12 matches.

Looking at who scores and concedes 1^st, we can see that once again M’gladbach  are street’s ahead.

Let’s have a look at the H2H’s now. In the last 10 matches M’gladbach have only won 2, Freiburg have won 5 and there has been 3 draws.  At M’gladbach there have been 2 wins to the home side and 1 win to Freiburg in the last 5 matches.

Verdict:- With the exception of the H2H’s, the stats are in M’gladbach’s favour and they should win this game. Freiburg’s home form of late has been good, but their away form is still very poor. I think I will lay the draw in this match for 5% of bank. I might also back over 2.5 goals in this game as well