Sunderland Vs Everton

The second FA Cup match this evening is the replay between Sunderland Vs Everton. The 1st match at Goodison Park ended 1-1-. So, have Everton blown their chance of a Merseyside semi-final or will they have the last laugh. Let’s have a look at the stats.

League form
•    In the last 10 matches, Sunderland have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4. They have lost 1 in the last 4 matches
•    In the last 10 matches, Everton have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2. They have won 2 and lost 2 in the last 4 matches.
•    Looking at current form (last 6), Sunderland have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3. They have scored 6 goals (1gpg) and conceded 10 goals (1.67gpg). They have kept 1 clean sheet and scored in 4 of the 6 matches
•    Looking at current form (last 6), Everton have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2. They have scored 6 goals (1gpg) and conceded 5 goals (0.83gpg). They have kept 3 clean sheets and scored in 4 of the 6 matches.
•    Looking at current home form (last 6), Sunderland have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1. They have scored 11 goals (1.83gpg) and conceded 3 goals (0.5gpg). They have kept 4 clean sheets and scored in all 6 matches.
•    Looking at current away form (last 6), Everton have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2. They have scored 5 goals (0.83gpg) and conceded 8 goals (1.33gpg). They have kept 1 clean sheet and scored in 4 of the 6 matches.
FA Cup Form
•    Sunderland have played 5 games this season (one replay). They have scored 5 goals (1.0gpg) and conceded 3 goals (0.6gpg).
•    Sunderland are 31st in the all-time table for the FA Cup.
•    Everton have played 4 games this season. They have scored 7 goals (1.75gpg) and conceded 2 goals (0.5gpg)
•    Everton are 3rd in the all-time table for the FA Cup.

H2H’s
•    Last 12 matches in all competition. Sunderland have won 0, Everton have won 7 and there have been 4 draws. At Sunderland, the last 6 matches have yielded 3 Everton wins and 3 draws (last 3). 4 of the 12 matches have been over 2.5 goals. 10 of the 12 matches have been over 1.5 goals. At Sunderland, 1 of the 6 matches have been over 2.5 goals and 4 of the 6 have been over 1.5 goals (last 4).

General Stats
•    Both teams have scored in 50% of Sunderland’s home matches. Both teams have scored in 47% of Everton’s away matches.
•    Sunderland score 1st 60% of the time at home. Everton score 1st 40% of the time away.
•    93% of the time there is a goal in Sunderland’s home matches and Everton’s away matches.
•    67% of the time there is a goal in the 1st half of Sunderland’s home matches.
•    47% of the time there is a goal in the 1st half of Everton’s away matches.
•    87% of the time there is a goal in the 2nd half of Sunderland’s home matches.
•    87% of the time there is a goal in the 2nd half of Everton’s away matches.
•    Sunderland score in 87% of their home matches. Everton score in 73% of their away matches.
•    Sunderland score 53% of the time in the 1st half of their home matches. Everton score 20% of the time in the 1st half of their away matches.
•    Sunderland score 67%of the time in the 2nd half of their home matches. Everton score 60% of the time in the 2nd half of their away matches.
•    On average only 20% of the time is there a goal in the 1st 15 mins of Sunderland’s home matches and Everton’s away matches.
•    80% of Sunderland’s home matches have the 1st goal before 68mins. 67% of Everton’s away matches have the 1st goals before 68 mins.
•    47% of the time Sunderland score the 1st goal at home before 68 mins. 27% of the time Everton score the 1st goal before 68 mins.
•    47% of the time Sunderland are leading before 68mins at home. 27% of the time Everton are leading before 68mins away from home.
•    On average 40% of the time there is a goal in the last 15mins in Sunderland’s home matches and Everton’s away matches.
•    93% of Sunderland’s home matches have 1 goal or more scored. 100% of Everton’s away matches have 1 goal or more scored.
•    73% of Sunderland’s home matches have over 1.5 goals. 80% of Everton’s away matches have over 1.5 goals.
•    60% of Sunderland’s home matches have over 2.5 goals. 27% of Everton’s away matches have over 2.5 goals.

Verdict:- This will be a tight match, both teams don’t score or concede lots of goals. The stats give a slight advantage to Sunderland, the odds suggest the game is fairly even. I think laying over 2.5 goals could be an option. Also laying the draw as we only need a goal, but I might look to wait for the first 20mins before getting involved so I can lay the draw at a lower price and stay in until the end.