Hi folks,
Just one match I am interested in tonight
Real sociedad vs Villarreal
Sociedad's last 17 matches read W8D5L4. They have scored in 14/17 and conceded in 12/17. They have scored 33 goals and conceded 23 goals.
Villarreal's last 17 matches read W8D4L5. They have scored in 13/17 matches and conceded in 12/17 matches. They have scored 27 goals and conceded 18 goals.
Sociedad have won 5 of their last 6 and lost 1. The 1 lost was against Real Madrid.
Villarreal have won 2 of their last 6, drawing 2 and losing 2.
Sociedad have the 5th best home record W5D2L1
Villarreal have the 5th best away record in the league W4D1L3.
Sociedad's last 12 home matches read W7D4L1. They have scored in 11/12 matches and concede in 8/12 matches. They have scored 34 goals and conceded 16 goals.
Villarreal's last 12 away matches read W5D2L5. They have scored in 8/12 matches and conceded in 8/12 matches. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 14 goals.
The last 10H2H's read H2D4A4
At sociedad H1D1A3
Since 2000/2001 season H5D6A7
At sociedad H2D3A4
The graded analysis for Sociedad reads W9D3L1. They have scored in 13/13 matches and conceded in 7/13 matches. They have scored 32 goals and conceded 12 goals.
The graded analysis for Villarreal reads W1D1L4. They have scored in 2/6 matches and conceded in 6/6 matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 12 goals.
Most of the stats are in Sociedad's favour and there is a bit of value in backing them or even LTD. However, I am a bit concerned with the H2H's with quite a few draws and sociedad not having a great record at home against Villarreal. So I will give this a miss
HT:FT Score
92% of the time there is a goal in the 1st half of Sociedad's home matches. 75% of the time there is a goal in the 1st half if Villarreal's away matches.
So I will lay the HT 0-0 score @3.3 for £5.20
The stats are also the same for a second half goal
So I will lay the HT score if less than 5.0
Well both trades were unsuccessful tonight as the match finished 0-0. So I lost £23.96.
With 15 minutes to go I also ltd as only 1 in the last 20 had finished 0-0. I lost £9.39. So overall a bad night with a total loss of £33.36.
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